Archive forDecember, 2010

The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly








$SPX continues to trend higher in a steady fashion, with a rising 20-day moving average following along behind. That much is pleasantly bullish, but there are some overbought conditions.





The equity-only put-call ratios are positive, as they continue to decline. The trend is down and that’s bullish for stocks.




Market breadth has generally been positive, but not overly so. As a result the breadth indicators are on buy signals, and are only modestly overbought.




Volatility indices ($VIX and $VXO) are both in downtrends, and that, too, is bullish for stocks.




In summary, the indicators are all bullish, so I would not recommend going short into the face of that. However, we also understand that volatility is “too low,” and there are several overbought conditions in place. As such, a sharp, but perhaps short-lived correction is certainly possible in the near term.

Lawrence G. McMillan is the author of two best selling books on options, including Options as a Strategic Investment, recognized as essential resources for any serious option trader’s library.

This Market Commentary provided by:
www.TigerSharkTrading.com

Tiger Shark Trading is a destination web site for savvy traders and provides daily commentary from some of the world’s top professional traders. Check it out.

It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented on these websites will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Examples presented on these websites are for educational purposes only. These set-ups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. The authors, Tiger Shark Publishing LLC, and all affiliates assume no responsibility for your trading results. There is a high degree of risk in trading.

Comments

« Previous entries